Kalshi· Economics

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2028 be above 4.5%?

Pays out if the result is above 4.5.

Chance

44%

Buy Yes

49¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

61¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 12 minutes ago. Ends Jan 28, 1:29 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, this happens tooWill annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2028 be above 0.0%?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2028 be above 0.5%?99¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2028 be above 1.0%?96¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2028 be above 1.5%?93¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2028 be above 2.0%?86¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2028 be above 2.5%?78¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2028 be above 3.0%?71¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2028 be above 3.5%?64¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2028 be above 5.0%?42¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2028 be above 5.5%?34¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2028 be above 6.0%?27¢

How this market is decidedShow

If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2028 is above 4.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 2028 annual value for GDP under “Current-dollar measures” in the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis release titled “GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2028,” or its equivalent successor publication. The value will be taken as reported by BEA, in percentage terms and to the precision published by BEA. Subsequent estimates, revisions, annual updates, or benchmark revisions will not affect resolution.

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