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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2030 be above 0.5%?

Pays out if the result is above 0.5.

Chance

93%

Buy Yes

98¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

12¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 27 seconds ago. Ends Jan 28, 1:29 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2030 is above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 2030 annual value for GDP under “Current-dollar measures” in the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis release titled “GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2030,” or its equivalent successor publication. The value will be taken as reported by BEA, in percentage terms and to the precision published by BEA. Subsequent estimates, revisions, annual updates, or benchmark revisions will not affect resolution.