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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for 2034 be above 0.5%?

Pays out if the result is above 0.5.

Chance

91%

Buy Yes

96¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

14¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 6 minutes ago. Ends Jan 28, 1:29 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If the annual percent change in U.S. current-dollar gross domestic product for calendar year 2034 is above 0.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the 2034 annual value for GDP under “Current-dollar measures” in the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis release titled “GDP (Advance Estimate), 4th Quarter and Year 2034,” or its equivalent successor publication. The value will be taken as reported by BEA, in percentage terms and to the precision published by BEA. Subsequent estimates, revisions, annual updates, or benchmark revisions will not affect resolution.