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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will the number of distinct U.S. states satisfying the REDISTRICTING Payout Criterion before November 3, 2026, treating “after Issuance” as “after July 1, 2025” be exactly 8 before the 2026 midterms?

Pays out if the result is 8 to 8.

Chance

9%

Buy Yes

11¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

93¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 2:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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Latest trades

  • 20 hours agoBought no at 93¢$5
How this market is decidedShow

If exactly 8 distinct U.S. states undergo congressional redistricting before the 2026 midterms, then the market resolves to Yes. For purposes of this market, “undergo congressional redistricting” means satisfying the Payout Criterion of the REDISTRICTING contract. “After Issuance” in the REDISTRICTING contract is treated as “after July 1, 2025.” REDISTRICTING contract: https://kalshi-public-docs.s3.amazonaws.com/contract_terms/REDISTRICTING.pdf