Kalshi· Economics

Will Nevada’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 be above 423.62?

Pays out if the result is above 423.62.

Chance

84%

Buy Yes

85¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

18¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Feb 28, 2:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

How this market is decidedShow

If FHFA reports that Nevada’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 is above 423.62, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the Nevada (NV) Q4 2026 indexsa value in FHFA’s quarterly Purchase-Only State HPI dataset. The 423.62 threshold is fixed and will not change if FHFA later revises its Q4 2025 value. Use NV → 2026 → Q4 → indexsa