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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will a NYT select poll show Trump below 30% approval?

Pays out if the result is below 30.

Chance

67%

Buy Yes

97¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

63¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Jan 7, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If Donald Trump's approval rating on overall job performance during Sep 1, 2026 to Dec 31, 2026 as reported by pollsters meeting the New York Times select-pollster criteria is below 30, then the market resolves to Yes. A single qualifying poll is sufficient. Only polls listed by The New York Times as “select pollsters” qualify. The approval rating will be the national “Approve” figure reported by The Times. Issue-specific, regional, and demographic results do not count.