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KalshiKalshi· Commodities

Will Input Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 be at or below $3/MTok in 2026?

Pays out if the result is 3 or less.

Chance

9%

Buy Yes

13¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

94¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 3 minutes ago. Ends Apr 1, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 5 hours agoBought no at 87¢$0
  • 8 hours agoBought no at 87¢$2
  • 17 hours agoSold yes at 15¢$1
  • 18 hours agoSold yes at 15¢$5
  • 19 hours agoSold yes at 14¢$5
  • yesterdayBought no at 87¢$2
How this market is decidedShow

If the Input Token Price of Claude Opus 4.8 on https://claude.com/pricing#api is at or below $3 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves based on the price listed of the Input Token Price for Claude Opus 4.8 in in 2026 on https://claude.com/pricing#api. The price must be explicitly displayed on the API pricing section of that page. If the product is renamed or succeeded, the closest equivalent product controls. If the page is unavailable on the expiration date, the last available published price will be used. Prices are in USD per MTok. Any promotional, temporary, or volume-discount pricing will not be used for resolution — only the standard listed API price applies. If no data is available by the Expiration Date, the last available price for Claude Opus 4.8 in 2026 will be used. If no prior value is available, all strikes shall resolve to “No”.