Kalshi· Economics

Will headline PCE inflation for August 2026 be above 0.4%?

Pays out if the result is above 0.4.

Chance

Buy Yes

16¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Sep 30, 12:29 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, this happens tooWill headline PCE inflation for August 2026 be above 0.0%?99¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill headline PCE inflation for August 2026 be above 0.1%?99¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill headline PCE inflation for August 2026 be above 0.2%?98¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill headline PCE inflation for August 2026 be above 0.3%?52¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill headline PCE inflation for August 2026 be above 0.5%?13¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill headline PCE inflation for August 2026 be above 0.6%?11¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill headline PCE inflation for August 2026 be above 0.7%?3¢

How this market is decidedShow

If the headline PCE inflation for August 2026 is above 0.4%, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will use the seasonally adjusted month-over-month percentage change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index, including food and energy, published in the Personal Income and Outlays release for August 2026. The first officially published August 2026 value will be used. Subsequent revisions will not affect the market outcome.

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