Will the margin of victory for Luke Bronin in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary be between 15% and 20%?

If the margin of victory for Luke Bronin in the 2026 CT-01 Democratic primary falls within 15% to 20%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Luke Bronin minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Luke Bronin if Luke Bronin wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Luke Bronin loses. If Luke Bronin wins, the margin will be positive; if Luke Bronin loses, the margin will be negative; if Luke Bronin ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Luke Bronin runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.