Will the margin of victory for Stefany Shaheen in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary be at least 15%?

If the margin of victory for Stefany Shaheen in the 2026 NH-01 Democratic primary is at or above 15%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Stefany Shaheen minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Stefany Shaheen if Stefany Shaheen wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Stefany Shaheen loses. If Stefany Shaheen wins, the margin will be positive; if Stefany Shaheen loses, the margin will be negative; if Stefany Shaheen ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Stefany Shaheen runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.