Will the margin of victory for Chris Pappas in the 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary be at least 10%?

If the margin of victory for Chris Pappas in the 2026 New Hampshire Democratic Senate primary is at or above 10%, then the market resolves to Yes. The margin of victory is the vote share received by Chris Pappas minus the vote share received by the candidate that finishes immediately behind Chris Pappas if Chris Pappas wins, or the candidate that finishes first if Chris Pappas loses. If Chris Pappas wins, the margin will be positive; if Chris Pappas loses, the margin will be negative; if Chris Pappas ties for first place, the margin shall be 0. Each margin range is inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, and no rounding shall be applied. For example, for consecutive ranges of 5-6% and 6-7%, a margin of 5.99999% resolves within the 5-6% range, while a margin of exactly 6% resolves within the 6-7% range. If Chris Pappas runs under multiple parties or is listed multiple times, votes attributable to the same underlying candidate will be summed.