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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will CAQ win the 2026 Quebec National Assembly election?

Chance

17%

Buy Yes

20¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

86¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 1 minute ago. Ends Oct 5, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 6 hours agoBought no at 85¢$5
  • yesterdayBought no at 85¢$5
How this market is decidedShow

If the CAQ wins the 2026 Quebec National Assembly election, then the market resolves to Yes. For parliamentary/legislative elections, the winner is the party, coalition, or alliance winning the most seats in the specified chamber. If two parties have the same number of seats, the one entering government will resolve to Yes and all others to No; if both or neither enter government, the one with the higher share of the vote will resolve to Yes and all others to No. This market may resolve early once a consensus of designated media sources has declared a winner. See full rules for details.