Kalshi · Climate and Weather

Will it rain in Miami on Sep 18, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 0.

Chance

73%

Buy Yes

74¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

29¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

$1.3K

as Kalshi reports it · 76 fills

Spread

3¢

round trip

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Sep 19, 5:00 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Order book

Live from the venue feed · updated 10 seconds ago

Buy Yes (bids)

71¢4$3
70¢3$2
69¢20$14
64¢11$7
63¢500$315

Sell Yes (asks)

74¢30$22
79¢5$4
80¢302$241
88¢6$5
89¢203$181

Spread: 3¢
Mid: 72.5¢
Microprice: 71.4¢
Within 5¢: $19 · $9

More money on NoImbalance +36%More money on Yes

Latest trades

26 minutes agoSold yes at 74¢$1
30 minutes agoBought no at 25¢$2
58 minutes agoBought no at 24¢$1
1 hour agoSold yes at 74¢$1
1 hour agoSold yes at 78¢$7
1 hour agoSold yes at 72¢$72
1 hour agoSold yes at 79¢$1
1 hour agoSold yes at 78¢$2
1 hour agoSold yes at 77¢$2
2 hours agoSold yes at 72¢$10

Rules

How this market is decided

Settled by The Weather Company. Contract terms (PDF)

If the total precipitation at CLIMIA in Miami in Sep 18, 2026 is strictly greater than 0 inches, then the market resolves to Yes. Not all weather data is the same. While checking a source like AccuWeather or Google Weather may help guide your decision, the official and final value used to determine this market as reported by the Weather Company. Reading weather data Data for CLIMIA can be found at https://weather.com/kalshi. “Trace” amounts (T) and missing daily precipitation values are counted as 0 inches.

Rule history

First recordedNo changes since.Sep 17, 9:17 AM UTC