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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Red wave in 2026?

Chance

7%

Buy Yes

7¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

94¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Feb 1, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 6 minutes agoBought no at 94¢$1
  • 59 minutes agoSold yes at 7¢$0
  • 6 hours agoSold yes at 8¢$1
  • 6 hours agoSold yes at 7¢$3
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 94¢$44
  • 6 hours agoSold yes at 7¢$1
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 94¢$10
  • 18 hours agoSold yes at 8¢$9
  • 19 hours agoBought no at 94¢$19
  • 24 hours agoBought no at 95¢$3
How this market is decidedShow

If ALL of the following occur for the 2026 midterms: U.S. House: Republicans win 220 or more seats, U.S. Senate: Republicans hold 55 or more seats, then the market resolves to Yes. This is a combination market requiring ALL specified outcomes to occur for the contract to pay out. If ANY single component resolves to No or becomes impossible, the entire contract immediately resolves to No. Each component is resolved according to its corresponding Kalshi ruleset: U.S. House (SEATSCONGRESS), U.S. Senate (SEATSCONGRESS).