Kalshi· Economics

Will Rhode Island’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 be above 431.10?

Pays out if the result is above 431.1.

Chance

80%

Buy Yes

80¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

21¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 10 minutes ago. Ends Feb 28, 2:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

How this market is decidedShow

If FHFA reports Rhode Island’s seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only House Price Index for Q4 2026 is above 431.10, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will use the Rhode Island (RI) Q4 2026 index_sa value in FHFA’s quarterly Purchase-Only State HPI dataset. The strike of 431.10 is fixed and will not change if FHFA subsequently revises Q4 2025. FHFA identifies the seasonally adjusted Purchase-Only HPI as its flagship house-price measure.