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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will Jake Paul announce a run for an elected public office in 2026?

Chance

4%

Buy Yes

6.5¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

97.8¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 39 seconds ago. Ends Nov 3, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If Jake Paul has announced they will run for an elected public office in the 2026 election after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, including running for the nomination of any political party to contest that office, then the market resolves to Yes. The person must publicly announce their campaign for it to be reported by a Source Agency. Merely filing campaign paperwork with the Federal Election Commission or similar entity is insufficient without a public announcement. The announcement must be for the specific office and election year listed. Exploratory committees or statements of interest without formal campaign announcements do not qualify. Running for a party's nomination to contest the office counts as running for that office. The announcement must come from the person themselves or their official campaign, not from speculation or third-party sources.