Kalshi· Elections

Will Geraldo Rufino win the 2026 São Paulo Federal Senate election?

Chance

Buy Yes

5¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

99¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Oct 4, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

How this market is decidedShow

If Geraldo Rufino wins the 2026 São Paulo Federal Senate election, then the market resolves to Yes. This market is not mutually exclusive: A candidate “wins” if they finish among the two candidates elected to the Senate. This market is eligible for accelerated resolution by a consensus of media calls. See full rules for details.