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KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

Above 3 New World screwworm infestation cases in the United States during 2026

Pays out if the result is above 3.

Chance

4%

Buy Yes

6¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 11 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 2:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • yesterdayBought no at 94¢$21
  • yesterdayBought no at 93¢$5
  • yesterdayBought no at 95¢$190
  • yesterdaySold yes at 12¢$2
How this market is decidedShow

If the total number of New World screwworm infestation cases reported in the United States during 2026 is above 3, then the market resolves to Yes. Cases are determined at 10:00 AM ET on the Expiration Date (January 8). Cases that actually occur between the end of the specified time period and Expiration do not count, but newly reported cases during this window do count if they are backdated to 2026. See the full rules for how Source Agencies are prioritized. This market refers exclusively to human cases. Important information: To clarify, for purposes of this Contract, "cases" of New World screwworm refers to human cases only, consistent with the prior event in this series under equivalent rulebook variables. The Contract has been amended to provide that, unless otherwise specified, disease cases refer to human cases.