Kalshi· Economics

Will at least 40 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?

Pays out if the result is 40 or more.

Chance

93%

Buy Yes

97.2¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

10.6¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 7 minutes ago. Ends Mar 31, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, this happens tooWill at least 35 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?98¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill at least 45 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?77¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill at least 50 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?56.4¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill at least 55 GWdc of solar capacity be installed in 2026?19.1¢

How this market is decidedShow

If at least 40 GWdc of solar capacity is installed in the US in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.