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KalshiKalshi· Science and Technology

Will SpaceX launch another Starship before Oct 1, 2026?

Chance

93%

Buy Yes

93¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

8¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 1 minute ago. Ends Oct 1, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 11 hours agoSold yes at 92¢$6
  • 11 hours agoSold yes at 92¢$2
  • 11 hours agoSold yes at 92¢$5
  • 11 hours agoSold yes at 92¢$0
  • 14 hours agoSold yes at 92¢$10
  • yesterdaySold yes at 91¢$162
  • yesterdaySold yes at 91¢$5
  • yesterdaySold yes at 91¢$22
  • yesterdaySold yes at 91¢$21
  • yesterdaySold yes at 90¢$162
How this market is decidedShow

If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 14 After issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. For the purpose of this market, the launch date is the calendar date on which liftoff occurred, measured in the local timezone of the launch site, as publicly confirmed by SpaceX