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Who will win the Wisconsin State Senate?

Chance

78%

Buy Yes

82¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

25¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

—

as Kalshi reports it

Spread

7¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Nov 3, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by The New York Times. Contract terms (PDF)

If the Democratic party wins the Wisconsin State Senate in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Winning is defined as holding more seats than any other party two weeks after the State Senate is sat for the session following the election. If both parties are tied, then the market resolves to No. This market is also eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner. See full rules for details.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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