Will Moderate Party finish 3rd in the 2026 Swedish general election?

If Moderate Party finishes in 3rd place in the 2026 Swedish general election according to the certified results, then the market resolves to Yes. For proportional representation systems, 3rd place is determined by the party list order as specified by the electoral authority's final seat allocation. The party awarded the 3rd-highest number of Riksdag seats in Valmyndigheten's final, certified distribution of mandates (mandatfördelning) resolves YES; every other listed party resolves NO Rank is NOT determined by national vote share. Where seat rank and vote-share rank differ, the certified seat allocation governs Resolution follows the final certified result, not the preliminary count published on election night or the ongoing count in the days that follow Only the election to the Riksdag counts. Seats won in the regional and municipal elections held the same day do NOT count A party awarded no seats cannot place 3rd If a party not listed on this event is awarded the 3rd-highest number of seats, every market on this event resolves NO In case of an exact tie for 3rd place among multiple parties as certified by the election authority, the markets shall resolve to $1/(number of tied entities) rounded down.