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KalshiKalshi· Companies

Will Netflix's takeover of Warner Brothers succeed Before July 2027?

Chance

3%

Buy Yes

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Jul 1, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoSold yes at $1
  • 4 hours agoBought no at 98¢$11
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 98¢$49
  • 20 hours agoSold yes at $1
  • yesterdayBought no at 98¢$25
  • yesterdayBought no at 98¢$153
How this market is decidedShow

If qualifying public announcements indicate Netflix's takeover of Warner Brothers has succeeded Before July 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A takeover "succeeds" when BOTH of the following are publicly announced: (a) Corporate Approval—shareholders approved the acquisition OR the acquirer acquired controlling interest (>50% of voting shares); AND (b) Conditions Satisfaction—all material conditions including regulatory approvals have been satisfied or waived. Press releases, SEC filings (8-K, Schedule TO amendments), and official company announcements qualify. Letters of intent, agreements in principle, or conditional announcements do not satisfy the criteria. If one acquirer's takeover succeeds, all other acquirer markets immediately resolve to No. Resolution is based on the announcements, not the ultimate transaction outcome—if both criteria are announced but the deal later fails, the market still resolves to Yes. The "None" option resolves to Yes only if no takeover succeeds by the deadline.