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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will any legislation imposing new or increased tariffs become law before Jan 1, 2027?

Chance

91%

Buy Yes

91¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

10¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 30 seconds ago. Ends Jan 1, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 23 hours agoSold yes at 80¢$400
  • 23 hours agoSold yes at 60¢$6
  • yesterdaySold yes at 59¢$4
  • yesterdaySold yes at 59¢$3
How this market is decidedShow

If any legislation imposing new or increased tariffs has become law after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. The bill must pass the full chamber (not just committee) for House or Senate passage. For "become law" markets, the bill must be signed by the President or become law through veto override. Presidential pocket vetoes that expire resolve to No. Joint resolutions are treated as bills. Treaties require two-thirds Senate approval for passage. The market resolves based on the first occurrence of the specified milestone.