Kalshi· Economics

Will US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $150‎ billion?

Pays out if the result is above 150.

Chance

84%

Buy Yes

86¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

18¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Jun 1, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, this happens tooWill US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $100‎ billion?95¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $125‎ billion?91¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $80‎ billion?96¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $200‎ billion?60¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill US tariff revenue for 2026 be above $250‎ billion?40¢

How this market is decidedShow

If US tariff revenue for 2026 is above $150‎ billion, then the market resolves to Yes. If source agency data from FRED is delayed due to a data delay, then the market will expire following data updating in accordance with Kalshi Rule 7.2(b).

Related markets