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KalshiKalshi· Crypto

Will Arc launch a token before Jan 1, 2027?

Chance

33%

Buy Yes

36¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

70¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 14 minutes ago. Ends Dec 31, 6:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 28 minutes agoBought no at 69¢$19
  • 28 minutes agoBought no at 70¢$13
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 88¢$48
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 90¢$545
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 64¢$18
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 65¢$130
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 88¢$23
  • 1 hour agoBought no at 87¢$49
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 42¢$2
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 42¢$0
How this market is decidedShow

If Arc launches a token after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. A token launch requires ALL of the following: a fungible token deployed on a blockchain network, officially announced by the project as their token, transferability between wallet addresses, real economic value (not testnet), a liquidity pool with real value, and distribution through public sale, private sale, airdrop, liquidity provision, or exchange listing. This includes ICOs, TGEs, airdrops, fair launches, migrations from testnet to mainnet, token swaps, and governance/utility tokens that become transferable with market value. NOT included: future launch announcements without deployment, non-transferable tokens or points, testnet tokens, fully locked tokens, NFTs, soulbound tokens, internal ecosystem tokens, wrapped tokens of existing assets, unactivated contracts, or points that will convert after the deadline.