Skip to content
Back to event

KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will Howard Lutnick leaves Secretary of Commerce in before 2027?

Chance

25%

Buy Yes

25¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

76¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 6 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 2:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoBought no at 76¢$82
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 76¢$15
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 76¢$1
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 76¢$48
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 76¢$1
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 76¢$2
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 76¢$31
  • 7 hours agoBought no at 76¢$2
  • 7 hours agoBought no at 76¢$24
  • 24 hours agoBought no at 76¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If Howard Lutnick leaves as Secretary of Commerce before 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Howard Lutnick must have an actual departure date by vacating the role within the time period. If the person leaves the role due to death (i.e., if the person dies while holding the role), all contracts on the person may resolve to the last fair price as determined in the sole discretion of the Exchange. Temporary leaves of absence, suspensions, or recusals do not constitute leaving, resigning from, or retiring from the role unless the individual formally and permanently ceases to hold the position. If the person vacates the role and then re-occupies the role, the contract may settle on the initial vacation of the role. For "leave," cessation of holding the role qualifies, including resignation, retirement, removal, expiration of term without renewal, recall, or other means by which the individual no longer occupies the role—this includes both voluntary early departure AND the natural expiration of a term.