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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will Donald Trump visit Iran before Jan 1, 2027?

Chance

3%

Buy Yes

3.7¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

98.1¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Jan 1, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoBought no at 98.1¢$25
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 98.1¢$57
  • 15 hours agoSold yes at 3.7¢$3
  • 18 hours agoBought no at 98¢$73
  • 18 hours agoBought no at 98¢$100
  • 18 hours agoBought no at 97.9¢$21
  • 18 hours agoBought no at 98¢$145
  • 18 hours agoBought no at 97.9¢$1
  • 18 hours agoBought no at 97.9¢$2
  • 18 hours agoBought no at 97.9¢$2
How this market is decidedShow

If Donald Trump has physically travelled to and been present within the geographic boundaries of Iran before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes. Physical presence within the geographic boundaries of the area is required. Flying over without landing, layovers during which the person remains in the airplane or airport, virtual or remote appearances, future visit plans, or (unless explicitly specified) presence in adjacent international waters or solely within embassy or consulate grounds do NOT constitute a visit. International airports are considered within the boundaries of their host jurisdiction. A visit that began before the specified time period and is ongoing as of its start does not count; however, if the person departs and re-enters the area during the time period, the re-entry constitutes a new visit and does count.