Skip to content
Back to event

KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will it be reported by at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details that President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details before Oct 1, 2026?

Chance

20%

Buy Yes

21¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

81¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 3 minutes ago. Ends Oct 1, 3:59 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 3 hours agoBought no at 79¢$158
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 78¢$0
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 78¢$0
  • 3 hours agoBought no at 78¢$0
  • yesterdayBought no at 77¢$154
  • yesterdayBought no at 75¢$0
  • yesterdayBought no at 75¢$47
  • yesterdayBought no at 75¢$5
  • yesterdayBought no at 75¢$3
  • yesterdayBought no at 76¢$152
How this market is decidedShow

If President Donald Trump gives his next qualifying address to the nation, as defined in Additional Details after Issuance and before Oct 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. Only reporting from at least four of the seven Source Agencies named in Additional Details qualifies for the purposes of this market. Reports that merely reference prior publications (from before Issuance) do not qualify, unless the new article itself explicitly reaffirms the truth of the topic as of the publication date. Republishing of content originally produced by other sources (e.g., wire services) only qualifies if the content is hosted on the outlet's official platform and the outlet is clearly identified as the publishing entity. An “address to the nation” means a prepared presidential speech that at least four of the Associated Press, Reuters, Bloomberg News, ABC, CBS, NBC, and The New York Times contemporaneously describe as an “address to the nation,” “national address,” “address to the American people,” or explicitly equivalent. At least two of ABC, CBS, and NBC must televise the speech nationwide, beginning within 60 seconds of its initial public transmission and continuing through the final prepared words. The speech may be delivered live or prerecorded. Examples include an update on Operation Epic Fury (4/1/26) and a year-end address on the economy and administration’s record (12/17/25). The examples are illustrative only; qualification is determined solely by the definition above. A qualifying description must be published after the initial public transmission begins and must affirm that the address is underway or occurred. Advance descriptions of a planned speech do NOT qualify. For deadline purposes, an address occurs when its initial public transmission begins. A strike can resolve Yes only if the transmission begins and all four qualifying descriptions are published before that strike date. Required network carriage may continue through the final prepared words after the strike date, but must be verified before determination.