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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will Donald Trump Jr. receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?

Chance

64%

Buy Yes

66¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

38¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Jan 21, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 20 hours agoSold yes at 66¢$0
  • 20 hours agoSold yes at 65¢$1
  • 20 hours agoSold yes at 65¢$3
  • yesterdayBought no at 38¢$0
How this market is decidedShow

If Donald Trump Jr. has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to Yes if the specified person receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during the specified Presidential term and before the deadline date. The pardon can be for any federal crime. Commutations that reduce sentences and reprieves that delay punishment also satisfy the criterion. State-level pardons do not count. The Presidential term continues even if the President changes due to succession or resignation.