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KalshiKalshi· Politics

Will Sam Bankman-Fried receive a presidential pardon before Jan 21, 2029?

Chance

34%

Buy Yes

35¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

68¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 3 minutes ago. Ends Jan 21, 3:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 4 hours agoBought no at 68¢$2
How this market is decidedShow

If Sam Bankman-Fried has been given a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during Trump's second term and before Jan 21, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes. The market resolves to Yes if the specified person receives a presidential pardon, commutation, or reprieve during the specified Presidential term and before the deadline date. The pardon can be for any federal crime. Commutations that reduce sentences and reprieves that delay punishment also satisfy the criterion. State-level pardons do not count. The Presidential term continues even if the President changes due to succession or resignation.