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KalshiKalshi· Mentions

Will Trump say "Prediction Market / Predictive Market" before Sep 21, 2026?

Chance

5%

Buy Yes

5¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

96¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 15 minutes ago. Ends Sep 21, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 1 hour agoSold yes at 5¢$9
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 5¢$3
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 7¢$0
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 5¢$0
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 5¢$1
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 7¢$5
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 5¢$0
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 5¢$1
  • 5 hours agoSold yes at 5¢$4
  • 5 hours agoSold yes at 4¢$6
How this market is decidedShow

If Prediction Market / Predictive Market, or a plural or possessive form of Prediction Market / Predictive Market, is stated by Donald Trump before Sep 21, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social). The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. Grammatical/tense inflections.