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KalshiKalshi· Mentions

Will Trump say "Iceland / Icelandic" before Oct 1, 2026?

Chance

21%

Buy Yes

22¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

80¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 15 minutes ago. Ends Oct 1, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 22¢$0
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 22¢$1
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 22¢$4
  • 8 hours agoSold yes at 18¢$5
  • 8 hours agoSold yes at 18¢$0
  • 12 hours agoBought no at 85¢$2
  • 12 hours agoBought no at 84¢$18
  • 12 hours agoBought no at 84¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If Iceland / Icelandic, or a plural or possessive form of Iceland / Icelandic, is stated by Donald Trump before Oct 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social). The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. Grammatical/tense inflections.