Kalshi· Mentions

Will Trump say "Moon" before Oct 1, 2026?

Chance

85%

Buy Yes

88¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

18¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Oct 1, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

2 hours agoSold yes at 85¢$13
2 hours agoSold yes at 85¢$43
2 hours agoSold yes at 84¢$11
2 hours agoSold yes at 84¢$1
2 hours agoSold yes at 84¢$8
2 hours agoSold yes at 83¢$1
2 hours agoSold yes at 84¢$68
6 hours agoBought no at 17¢$22
6 hours agoBought no at 16¢$8
11 hours agoBought no at 16¢$4

How this market is decidedShow

If Moon, or a plural or possessive form of Moon, is stated by Donald Trump before Oct 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. Payout criteria The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social). The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. Doesn't count for payout Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. Grammatical/tense inflections.