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KalshiKalshi· Mentions

Will Trump say "Numbskull" before Oct 1, 2026?

Chance

11%

Buy Yes

16¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

93¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Oct 1, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 10¢$0
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 10¢$3
  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 10¢$2
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 7¢$2
  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 8¢$8
  • 11 hours agoSold yes at 6¢$0
  • 21 hours agoSold yes at 11¢$3
  • 21 hours agoSold yes at 12¢$2
  • 23 hours agoSold yes at 10¢$0
  • yesterdaySold yes at 11¢$3
How this market is decidedShow

If Numbskull, or a plural or possessive form of Numbskull, is stated by Donald Trump before Oct 1, 2026 at 12:00am ET, then the market resolves to Yes. The word or phrase must be stated by President Donald Trump in public statements, direct quotes published by Source Agencies, or written public statements on his personal social media accounts (Twitter/Truth Social). Official acts like Executive Orders or bills signed do not count. The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used. Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included. For phrases with slashes like "Doge/Dogecoin," either word satisfies the criterion. If the word must be said a minimum number of times, all instances must occur after market issuance. Please see full rules for more details.