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Will the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 21, 2026 be above 83,000 MW?

Pays out if the result is above 83,000.

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Chance

38%

Buy Yes

50¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

75¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Vol 24h

—

as Kalshi reports it

Spread

25¢

round tripThin

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Sep 22, 4:55 AM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Rules

How this market is decided
Settled by Electric Reliability Council of Texas (ERCOT). Contract terms (PDF)

If the highest hourly total system load reported for the ERCOT grid on September 21, 2026 is above 83,000 MW, then the market resolves to Yes. The Expiration Value is the highest value in the TOTAL column of the first complete “Actual System Load by Forecast Zone” CSV report published by ERCOT for the September 21, 2026 operating day. Each value represents ERCOT system load for the corresponding full hour. Instantaneous load readings displayed elsewhere by ERCOT will not be considered. Values will be compared as published without rounding. Later revisions, settlement adjustments, or republications will not affect the Expiration Value.

Rule history

  1. First recordedNo changes since.

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