Kalshi· Economics

Will Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 5.8 million barrels/day?

Pays out if the result is above 5.8.

Chance

43%

Buy Yes

43¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

58¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 7 minutes ago. Ends Mar 31, 1:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, this happens tooWill Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 5.6 million barrels/day?98¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 5.7 million barrels/day?95¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for 2026 be above 5.9 million barrels/day?12¢

How this market is decidedShow

If EIA reports Texas’s annual-average field production of crude oil for calendar year 2026 is above 5.8 million barrels/day, then the market resolves to Yes. Resolution will use EIA’s Texas Field Production of Crude Oil statistic. Production is measured in thousand barrels per day and will be converted to million barrels per day by dividing by 1,000. EIA notes that its Texas estimates may differ from Railroad Commission of Texas figures, so only EIA data will be used.

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