Kalshi· Economics

Will the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.1% in October?

Pays out if the result is above 4.1.

Chance

62%

Buy Yes

63¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

39¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 5 minutes ago. Ends Nov 6, 1:29 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, this happens tooWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.7% in October?97¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.8% in October?91¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 3.9% in October?84¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.0% in October?75¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.2% in October?40¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.3% in October?22¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.4% in October?15¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.5% in October?9¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.6% in October?9¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.7% in October?8¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.8% in October?6¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the unemployment rate (U-3) be above 4.9% in October?6¢

Latest trades

21 hours agoBought no at 39¢$4
23 hours agoBought no at 39¢$1

How this market is decidedShow

If the seasonally adjusted unemployment rate (U-3) reported by the Bureau of Labor Statistics in the Employment Situation Report is above 4.1% in October 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

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