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KalshiKalshi· Economics

Will U.S. dollar’s share of international payments by value on Swift, excluding payments within the Eurozone for December 2026 be above 57.5%?

Pays out if the result is above 57.5.

Chance

89%

Buy Yes

92¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

15¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Jan 21, 2:59 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If the U.S. dollar’s share of international payments by value on Swift, excluding payments within the Eurozone, for December 2026 is above 57.5%, then the market resolves to Yes. The Underlying is the percentage share attributed to USD for December 2026 in the “International payments currency - Excluding payments within Eurozone” table published by Swift in its Global Currency Tracker. The statistic is based on the value of live and delivered MT 103, MT 202, and equivalent ISO 20022 payment messages exchanged on Swift, including customer-initiated and institutional payments. This market will use the first value published by Swift for December 2026. Corrections or revisions published after Expiration will not be considered. If Swift changes the title, format, or location of the Global Currency Tracker but continues to publish a materially equivalent statistic, the corresponding successor publication may be used.