Kalshi· Financials

Will the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.99% on Sep 17, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.99.

Chance

61%

Buy Yes

66¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

45¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 15 minutes ago. Ends Sep 17, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, this happens tooWill the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Sep 17, 2026?—
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If this happens, this happens tooWill the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.89% on Sep 17, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.91% on Sep 17, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.93% on Sep 17, 2026?97¢
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If this happens, yours happens tooWill the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.01% on Sep 17, 2026?42¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.03% on Sep 17, 2026?21¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.05% on Sep 17, 2026?15¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.07% on Sep 17, 2026?9¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the 10Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.09% on Sep 17, 2026?8¢

Latest trades

7 minutes agoBought no at 45¢$1
1 hour agoBought no at 27¢$27
1 hour agoBought no at 13¢$12

How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 10Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.99% on Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 17, 2026, or one week following Sep 17, 2026.

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