Kalshi· Financials

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.78% on Sep 17, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.78.

Chance

13%

Buy Yes

22¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

96¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 14 minutes ago. Ends Sep 17, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, this happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.50% on Sep 17, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.52% on Sep 17, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.54% on Sep 17, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.56% on Sep 17, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.58% on Sep 17, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.60% on Sep 17, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.62% on Sep 17, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.64% on Sep 17, 2026?99¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.66% on Sep 17, 2026?98¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.68% on Sep 17, 2026?96¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.70% on Sep 17, 2026?91¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.72% on Sep 17, 2026?83¢

Latest trades

3 hours agoBought no at 42¢$42
7 hours agoBought no at 87¢$87

How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.78% on Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 17, 2026, or one week following Sep 17, 2026.

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