Kalshi· Financials

Will the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.38% on Sep 30, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.38.

Chance

—

Buy Yes

—

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

18¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 2 minutes ago. Ends Sep 30, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, this happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.20% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.22% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.24% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.26% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.28% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.30% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.32% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.34% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.36% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.40% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.42% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the 2Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.44% on Sep 30, 2026?—

How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 2Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.38% on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 30, 2026, or one week following Sep 30, 2026.

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