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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.36% on Sep 18, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 5.36.

Chance

56%

Buy Yes

66¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

54¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 8 minutes ago. Ends Sep 18, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Latest trades

  • 11 hours agoBought no at 53¢$53
  • 20 hours agoBought no at 50¢$6
  • 20 hours agoBought no at 51¢$45
  • 21 hours agoSold yes at 61¢$42
  • 21 hours agoSold yes at 60¢$7
  • yesterdaySold yes at 48¢$48
  • yesterdaySold yes at 47¢$47
How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.36% on Sep 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 18, 2026, or one week following Sep 18, 2026.