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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.38% on Sep 16, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 5.38.

Chance

18%

Buy Yes

18¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

—

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 13 minutes ago. Ends Sep 16, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

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Latest trades

  • 5 hours agoBought no at 92¢$92
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 89¢$45
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 93¢$93
  • 6 hours agoBought no at 89¢$67
  • 11 hours agoSold yes at 20¢$20
  • 14 hours agoSold yes at 10¢$10
  • 20 hours agoBought no at 78¢$20
  • 20 hours agoBought no at 77¢$39
  • 21 hours agoSold yes at 38¢$5
  • 23 hours agoSold yes at 27¢$20
How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.38% on Sep 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 16, 2026, or one week following Sep 16, 2026.