Kalshi· Financials

Will the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.38% on Sep 30, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 5.38.

Chance

76%

Buy Yes

76¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

—

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 6 minutes ago. Ends Sep 30, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, this happens tooWill the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.10% on Sep 30, 2026?98¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.12% on Sep 30, 2026?98¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.14% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.16% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.18% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.20% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.22% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.24% on Sep 30, 2026?96¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.26% on Sep 30, 2026?96¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.28% on Sep 30, 2026?96¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.30% on Sep 30, 2026?96¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 30Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 5.32% on Sep 30, 2026?97¢

How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 30Y U.S. Treasury is above 5.38% on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 30, 2026, or one week following Sep 30, 2026.

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