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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Sep 18, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.82.

Chance

54%

Buy Yes

71¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

63¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 1 minute ago. Ends Sep 18, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 3 hours agoSold yes at 52¢$52
  • 12 hours agoSold yes at 51¢$5
  • 12 hours agoSold yes at 50¢$3
  • 12 hours agoSold yes at 50¢$3
  • 12 hours agoSold yes at 49¢$2
  • 21 hours agoSold yes at 53¢$1
  • 21 hours agoSold yes at 47¢$47
  • yesterdayBought no at 54¢$1
How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.82% on Sep 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 18, 2026, or one week following Sep 18, 2026.