Kalshi· Financials

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.90% on Sep 17, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.9.

Chance

25%

Buy Yes

31¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

82¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 14 minutes ago. Ends Sep 17, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, this happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.70% on Sep 17, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.72% on Sep 17, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.74% on Sep 17, 2026?99¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.76% on Sep 17, 2026?99¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.78% on Sep 17, 2026?98¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.80% on Sep 17, 2026?95¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.82% on Sep 17, 2026?91¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.84% on Sep 17, 2026?84¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.86% on Sep 17, 2026?68¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.88% on Sep 17, 2026?46¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.92% on Sep 17, 2026?16¢
If this happens, yours happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.94% on Sep 17, 2026?5¢

Latest trades

3 hours agoSold yes at 28¢$27
4 hours agoSold yes at 27¢$0
4 hours agoSold yes at 28¢$4
4 hours agoSold yes at 27¢$0

How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.90% on Sep 17, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 17, 2026, or one week following Sep 17, 2026.

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