Kalshi· Financials

Will the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.97% on Sep 30, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.97.

Chance

22%

Buy Yes

34¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

91¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 4 minutes ago. Ends Sep 30, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks

Cost of a Yes share

If this happens, this happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.35% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.37% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.39% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.41% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.43% on Sep 30, 2026?99¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.45% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.47% on Sep 30, 2026?99¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.49% on Sep 30, 2026?99¢
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.51% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.53% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.55% on Sep 30, 2026?—
If this happens, this happens tooWill the 5Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.57% on Sep 30, 2026?—

Latest trades

18 hours agoBought no at 73¢$73

How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 5Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.97% on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 30, 2026, or one week following Sep 30, 2026.

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