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KalshiKalshi· Financials

Will the 7Y U.S. Treasury yield be above 4.85% on Sep 16, 2026?

Pays out if the result is above 4.85.

Chance

—

Buy Yes

—

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

75¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 38 minutes ago. Ends Sep 16, 7:30 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share

Related markets

Latest trades

  • 2 hours agoSold yes at 74¢$39
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 47¢$47
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 35¢$34
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 35¢$34
  • 2 hours agoBought no at 34¢$0
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 40¢$0
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 38¢$0
  • 5 hours agoBought no at 39¢$0
  • 6 hours agoSold yes at 82¢$1
  • 7 hours agoSold yes at 83¢$83
How this market is decidedShow

If the par yield for the 7Y U.S. Treasury is above 4.85% on Sep 16, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. The market will expire at the sooner of the first 7:00 PM ET following the data release for Sep 16, 2026, or one week following Sep 16, 2026.