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KalshiKalshi· Elections

Will Die Linke receive at least 18% of valid second votes in the 2026 Berlin state election?

Pays out if the result is 18 or more.

Chance

88%

Buy Yes

92¢

pays $1 if it happens

Buy No

16¢

pays $1 if it doesn’t

Prices from Kalshi, updated 11 minutes ago. Ends Sep 20, 2:00 PM UTC.

Price over the last 2 weeks
Cost of a Yes share
How this market is decidedShow

If the percentage of valid second votes (Zweitstimmen) received by Die Linke in the 2026 Berlin state election is 18% to 100%, inclusive of both endpoints, then the market resolves to Yes. The percentage is (second votes received by the party ÷ total valid second votes cast) × 100, rounded to two decimal places. Invalid, spoiled, or rejected ballots are excluded from numerator and denominator. Except as provided in the Fully-Conducted Elections and Accelerated Resolution provisions, use certified/official results; unofficial results or media declarations may be used only as those provisions allow. If voting is cancelled, suspended, or postponed before it concludes, or no results (certified or unofficial as reported by the Source Agencies) are available by expiration, resolve No, subject to those provisions. If a recount changes the certified percentage before expiration, use the most recent certified percentage.